Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -24 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
FL -24 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$19,749 वॉल्यूम
$19,749 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$19,749 वॉल्यूम
$19,749 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$8,452 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$11,297 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,749समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,749समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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