**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models position 19°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 3, 2026.** Multiple sources, including SMN guidance released September 1–2, indicate a maximum near 19°C (with some hourly guidance peaking at 18°C) under partly cloudy skies after morning showers or isolated storms. This aligns with the market’s 47.5% implied probability for 19°C and 35% for 20°C. The primary driver is the passage of a cold front on September 2–3. Strong northwesterly winds on the 2nd (supporting a 23°C high) shift to westerly/southwesterly flow, advecting cooler maritime air while allowing limited afternoon warming under clearing skies. Seasonal early-spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere provide a baseline around the long-term September average high of ~19°C, but the recent frontal intrusion caps upside potential. Model consensus (including ECMWF-influenced guidance reflected in Yr.no and others) shows limited disagreement, with highs clustering 17–19°C and precipitation tapering by afternoon. Traders appear to weigh the official 19°C call heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 20°C if clearing occurs earlier or insolation exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes (18°C or below) carry lower weight given the expected post-frontal recovery, though any forecast revision from updated SMN or NWP runs could shift sentiment quickly as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को ब्यूनस आयर्स में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
3 सितंबर को ब्यूनस आयर्स में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
19°C 48%
20°C 35%
18°C 11%
21°C 6%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
48%
20°C
35%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C या अधिक
1%
19°C 48%
20°C 35%
18°C 11%
21°C 6%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$260 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$389 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$297 वॉल्यूम
2%
17°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
4%
18°C
$489 वॉल्यूम
11%
19°C
$601 वॉल्यूम
48%
20°C
$949 वॉल्यूम
35%
21°C
$584 वॉल्यूम
6%
22°C
$173 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C या अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models position 19°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 3, 2026.** Multiple sources, including SMN guidance released September 1–2, indicate a maximum near 19°C (with some hourly guidance peaking at 18°C) under partly cloudy skies after morning showers or isolated storms. This aligns with the market’s 47.5% implied probability for 19°C and 35% for 20°C.
The primary driver is the passage of a cold front on September 2–3. Strong northwesterly winds on the 2nd (supporting a 23°C high) shift to westerly/southwesterly flow, advecting cooler maritime air while allowing limited afternoon warming under clearing skies. Seasonal early-spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere provide a baseline around the long-term September average high of ~19°C, but the recent frontal intrusion caps upside potential. Model consensus (including ECMWF-influenced guidance reflected in Yr.no and others) shows limited disagreement, with highs clustering 17–19°C and precipitation tapering by afternoon.
Traders appear to weigh the official 19°C call heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 20°C if clearing occurs earlier or insolation exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes (18°C or below) carry lower weight given the expected post-frontal recovery, though any forecast revision from updated SMN or NWP runs could shift sentiment quickly as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,063समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models position 19°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 3, 2026.** Multiple sources, including SMN guidance released September 1–2, indicate a maximum near 19°C (with some hourly guidance peaking at 18°C) under partly cloudy skies after morning showers or isolated storms. This aligns with the market’s 47.5% implied probability for 19°C and 35% for 20°C.
The primary driver is the passage of a cold front on September 2–3. Strong northwesterly winds on the 2nd (supporting a 23°C high) shift to westerly/southwesterly flow, advecting cooler maritime air while allowing limited afternoon warming under clearing skies. Seasonal early-spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere provide a baseline around the long-term September average high of ~19°C, but the recent frontal intrusion caps upside potential. Model consensus (including ECMWF-influenced guidance reflected in Yr.no and others) shows limited disagreement, with highs clustering 17–19°C and precipitation tapering by afternoon.
Traders appear to weigh the official 19°C call heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 20°C if clearing occurs earlier or insolation exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes (18°C or below) carry lower weight given the expected post-frontal recovery, though any forecast revision from updated SMN or NWP runs could shift sentiment quickly as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,063समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models position 19°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 3, 2026.** Multiple sources, including SMN guidance released September 1–2, indicate a maximum near 19°C (with some hourly guidance peaking at 18°C) under partly cloudy skies after morning showers or isolated storms. This aligns with the market’s 47.5% implied probability for 19°C and 35% for 20°C. The primary driver is the passage of a cold front on September 2–3. Strong northwesterly winds on the 2nd (supporting a 23°C high) shift to westerly/southwesterly flow, advecting cooler maritime air while allowing limited afternoon warming under clearing skies. Seasonal early-spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere provide a baseline around the long-term September average high of ~19°C, but the recent frontal intrusion caps upside potential. Model consensus (including ECMWF-influenced guidance reflected in Yr.no and others) shows limited disagreement, with highs clustering 17–19°C and precipitation tapering by afternoon. Traders appear to weigh the official 19°C call heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 20°C if clearing occurs earlier or insolation exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes (18°C or below) carry lower weight given the expected post-frontal recovery, though any forecast revision from updated SMN or NWP runs could shift sentiment quickly as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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