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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?

28°C 100.0%

20°C or below <1%

21°C <1%

22°C <1%

Polymarket

$265,117 वॉल्यूम

28°C 100.0%

20°C or below <1%

21°C <1%

22°C <1%

Polymarket

$265,117 वॉल्यूम

20°C or below

$2,600 वॉल्यूम

No

21°C

$2,326 वॉल्यूम

No

22°C

$1,715 वॉल्यूम

No

23°C

$3,293 वॉल्यूम

No

24°C

$6,983 वॉल्यूम

No

25°C

$32,935 वॉल्यूम

No

26°C

$27,231 वॉल्यूम

No

27°C

$52,402 वॉल्यूम

No

28°C

$58,908 वॉल्यूम

Yes

29°C

$45,524 वॉल्यूम

No

30°C or higher

$31,200 वॉल्यूम

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$265,117
समाप्ति तिथि
11 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$265,117
समाप्ति तिथि
11 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: No

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?" Polymarket पर 11 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 28°C 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 20°C or below 0% पर है।

आज तक, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?" ने कुल $265.1K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 9, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 11 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "28°C" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "20°C or below" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।