Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high between 82-85°F under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting warm advection and ample solar insolation. The 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins tie at 34.5% implied probability due to variability in variable cloudiness (40-70% cover forecast), sea breeze timing influencing onshore flow and boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island effects at official observing sites like Bush Intercontinental Airport. Light southerly winds (5-10 mph) and dewpoints in the upper 60s°F support highs in this range, with 86-87°F at 16.5% hinging on clearer skies than baseline analogs. New soundings and satellite updates today could refine peak heating estimates before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 13%
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 13%
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high between 82-85°F under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting warm advection and ample solar insolation. The 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins tie at 34.5% implied probability due to variability in variable cloudiness (40-70% cover forecast), sea breeze timing influencing onshore flow and boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island effects at official observing sites like Bush Intercontinental Airport. Light southerly winds (5-10 mph) and dewpoints in the upper 60s°F support highs in this range, with 86-87°F at 16.5% hinging on clearer skies than baseline analogs. New soundings and satellite updates today could refine peak heating estimates before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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