Latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 30°C (25.5%), while 28°C trails at 18%. This tight spread reflects ensemble model agreement amid warmer-than-normal April conditions—monthly means 1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure ridges promoting clear skies and solar heating. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze incursions from the Atlantic moderating afternoon peaks by 1-2°C and urban heat island amplification at official measurement stations. With inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, traders eye daily updates from these agencies and global models like GFS through April 16 for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 30°C (25.5%), while 28°C trails at 18%. This tight spread reflects ensemble model agreement amid warmer-than-normal April conditions—monthly means 1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure ridges promoting clear skies and solar heating. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze incursions from the Atlantic moderating afternoon peaks by 1-2°C and urban heat island amplification at official measurement stations. With inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, traders eye daily updates from these agencies and global models like GFS through April 16 for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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