Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 3?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,289 वॉल्यूम
$56,289 वॉल्यूम
3 मई, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,289 वॉल्यूम
$56,289 वॉल्यूम
3 मई, 2026
14°C or below
$2,232 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$1,233 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$1,412 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$2,195 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$5,513 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$12,144 वॉल्यूम
Yes
20°C
$7,599 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$5,287 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$5,411 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$6,059 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C or higher
$7,204 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 1, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$56,289समाप्ति तिथि
3 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$56,289समाप्ति तिथि
3 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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