Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 17, with closely matched implied probabilities around 33°C (25%), 34°C (26%), and 35°C or higher (28%), driven by divergent global ensemble outputs over the past 24 hours. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has trended hotter toward 35–36°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, while GFS ensembles cluster nearer 33°C, factoring in moderating Mediterranean sea breezes and coastal influences. Israel Meteorological Service's latest advisory caps at 30°C but acknowledges upside risk from recent unseasonal warmth, including 30°C on April 14 amid building high pressure. Key differentiators include ridge amplitude and potential for adiabatic heating; new 12z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will clarify peak intensity against historical April averages of 23–24°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
34°C 29%
35°C or higher 25%
33°C 22%
32°C 17%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
22%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
25%
34°C 29%
35°C or higher 25%
33°C 22%
32°C 17%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
25°C or below
$597 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$808 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$823 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$746 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$468 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$582 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$721 वॉल्यूम
5%
32°C
$523 वॉल्यूम
17%
33°C
$714 वॉल्यूम
22%
34°C
$718 वॉल्यूम
29%
35°C or higher
$1,393 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 17, with closely matched implied probabilities around 33°C (25%), 34°C (26%), and 35°C or higher (28%), driven by divergent global ensemble outputs over the past 24 hours. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has trended hotter toward 35–36°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, while GFS ensembles cluster nearer 33°C, factoring in moderating Mediterranean sea breezes and coastal influences. Israel Meteorological Service's latest advisory caps at 30°C but acknowledges upside risk from recent unseasonal warmth, including 30°C on April 14 amid building high pressure. Key differentiators include ridge amplitude and potential for adiabatic heating; new 12z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will clarify peak intensity against historical April averages of 23–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,078समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 17, with closely matched implied probabilities around 33°C (25%), 34°C (26%), and 35°C or higher (28%), driven by divergent global ensemble outputs over the past 24 hours. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has trended hotter toward 35–36°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, while GFS ensembles cluster nearer 33°C, factoring in moderating Mediterranean sea breezes and coastal influences. Israel Meteorological Service's latest advisory caps at 30°C but acknowledges upside risk from recent unseasonal warmth, including 30°C on April 14 amid building high pressure. Key differentiators include ridge amplitude and potential for adiabatic heating; new 12z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will clarify peak intensity against historical April averages of 23–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$8,078समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 17, with closely matched implied probabilities around 33°C (25%), 34°C (26%), and 35°C or higher (28%), driven by divergent global ensemble outputs over the past 24 hours. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has trended hotter toward 35–36°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, while GFS ensembles cluster nearer 33°C, factoring in moderating Mediterranean sea breezes and coastal influences. Israel Meteorological Service's latest advisory caps at 30°C but acknowledges upside risk from recent unseasonal warmth, including 30°C on April 14 amid building high pressure. Key differentiators include ridge amplitude and potential for adiabatic heating; new 12z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will clarify peak intensity against historical April averages of 23–24°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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