Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, yet market-implied odds favor 18°C (35.5%) over 19°C (29.0%), capturing ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs that anticipate more persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capping peak heating. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing from gusts up to 20 km/h, urban heat island effects varying by station (e.g., Haneda vs. central Tokyo), and solar insolation during midday hours, with historical mid-April averages near 19°C providing context. JMA updates expected twice daily could shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अप्रैल को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अप्रैल को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 37%
19°C 29%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$15,124 वॉल्यूम
$15,124 वॉल्यूम
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
29%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
19°C 29%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$15,124 वॉल्यूम
$15,124 वॉल्यूम
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
29%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, yet market-implied odds favor 18°C (35.5%) over 19°C (29.0%), capturing ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs that anticipate more persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capping peak heating. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing from gusts up to 20 km/h, urban heat island effects varying by station (e.g., Haneda vs. central Tokyo), and solar insolation during midday hours, with historical mid-April averages near 19°C providing context. JMA updates expected twice daily could shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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