Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.