USGS monitoring records five global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through April 16, setting a near-average pace consistent with historical weekly rates of 8–12 events worldwide, as derived from long-term seismic catalogs following the Gutenberg-Richter distribution. This positions trader consensus—reflected in 42% implied probability for >9 total—at the higher end, anticipating continued activity along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire amid typical tectonic stress accumulation. No unusual swarms or aftershock sequences have emerged to skew counts, though inherent Poisson-like variability leaves 8 (14.5%) and 9 (14.5%) competitive; lower outcomes trail due to baseline frequencies. Resolution awaits the final USGS catalog post-April 19, with real-time updates available on their earthquake map.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अप्रैल से 19 अप्रैल तक कितने 5.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
13 अप्रैल से 19 अप्रैल तक कितने 5.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
>9 41%
8 15%
9 15%
7 12%
$107,290 वॉल्यूम
$107,290 वॉल्यूम
≤3
1%
4
1%
5
5%
6
8%
7
12%
8
15%
9
15%
>9
41%
>9 41%
8 15%
9 15%
7 12%
$107,290 वॉल्यूम
$107,290 वॉल्यूम
≤3
1%
4
1%
5
5%
6
8%
7
12%
8
15%
9
15%
>9
41%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...USGS monitoring records five global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through April 16, setting a near-average pace consistent with historical weekly rates of 8–12 events worldwide, as derived from long-term seismic catalogs following the Gutenberg-Richter distribution. This positions trader consensus—reflected in 42% implied probability for >9 total—at the higher end, anticipating continued activity along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire amid typical tectonic stress accumulation. No unusual swarms or aftershock sequences have emerged to skew counts, though inherent Poisson-like variability leaves 8 (14.5%) and 9 (14.5%) competitive; lower outcomes trail due to baseline frequencies. Resolution awaits the final USGS catalog post-April 19, with real-time updates available on their earthquake map.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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