Traders' consensus favors fewer than three major space weather events—defined by NOAA scales as G3+ geomagnetic storms, R3+ radio blackouts, or S2+ solar radiation storms—from April 12-18, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by quiet solar conditions observed through April 15. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reports no active alerts, low solar wind speeds around 340 km/s, and neutral Bz orientation, with planetary Kp indices remaining below storm thresholds. Sunspot regions show minimal flare activity, and 3-day forecasts indicate only 1% chance of S1+ radiation storms or R3+ blackouts through April 17, absent incoming coronal mass ejections. Upcoming SWPC updates and solar active region monitoring could shift odds if unexpected flares emerge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)
<3 59%
7 24%
3 23.4%
6 8%
$10,077 वॉल्यूम
$10,077 वॉल्यूम
18 अप्रैल, 2026
<3
59%
3
23%
4
6%
5
5%
6
8%
7
24%
8+
12%
<3 59%
7 24%
3 23.4%
6 8%
$10,077 वॉल्यूम
$10,077 वॉल्यूम
18 अप्रैल, 2026
<3
$6,327 वॉल्यूम
59%
3
$306 वॉल्यूम
23%
4
$3,205 वॉल्यूम
6%
5
$57 वॉल्यूम
5%
6
$72 वॉल्यूम
8%
7
$57 वॉल्यूम
24%
8+
$55 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders' consensus favors fewer than three major space weather events—defined by NOAA scales as G3+ geomagnetic storms, R3+ radio blackouts, or S2+ solar radiation storms—from April 12-18, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by quiet solar conditions observed through April 15. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reports no active alerts, low solar wind speeds around 340 km/s, and neutral Bz orientation, with planetary Kp indices remaining below storm thresholds. Sunspot regions show minimal flare activity, and 3-day forecasts indicate only 1% chance of S1+ radiation storms or R3+ blackouts through April 17, absent incoming coronal mass ejections. Upcoming SWPC updates and solar active region monitoring could shift odds if unexpected flares emerge.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,077समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders' consensus favors fewer than three major space weather events—defined by NOAA scales as G3+ geomagnetic storms, R3+ radio blackouts, or S2+ solar radiation storms—from April 12-18, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by quiet solar conditions observed through April 15. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reports no active alerts, low solar wind speeds around 340 km/s, and neutral Bz orientation, with planetary Kp indices remaining below storm thresholds. Sunspot regions show minimal flare activity, and 3-day forecasts indicate only 1% chance of S1+ radiation storms or R3+ blackouts through April 17, absent incoming coronal mass ejections. Upcoming SWPC updates and solar active region monitoring could shift odds if unexpected flares emerge.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$10,077समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' consensus favors fewer than three major space weather events—defined by NOAA scales as G3+ geomagnetic storms, R3+ radio blackouts, or S2+ solar radiation storms—from April 12-18, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by quiet solar conditions observed through April 15. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reports no active alerts, low solar wind speeds around 340 km/s, and neutral Bz orientation, with planetary Kp indices remaining below storm thresholds. Sunspot regions show minimal flare activity, and 3-day forecasts indicate only 1% chance of S1+ radiation storms or R3+ blackouts through April 17, absent incoming coronal mass ejections. Upcoming SWPC updates and solar active region monitoring could shift odds if unexpected flares emerge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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