Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold in the deep-blue state, where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Illinois' D+7 partisan voter index, combined with GOP nominee Don Tracy's lower profile as a downstate former party chair, reinforces this positioning amid historical Democratic dominance in general elections here. While absent post-primary polls limit granular insights, scenarios like a major Stratton scandal, surging national GOP momentum, or economic discontent boosting downstate turnout could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$21,268 वॉल्यूम
$21,268 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
93%
रिपब्लिकन
8%
$21,268 वॉल्यूम
$21,268 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$10,617 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन
$10,651 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold in the deep-blue state, where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Illinois' D+7 partisan voter index, combined with GOP nominee Don Tracy's lower profile as a downstate former party chair, reinforces this positioning amid historical Democratic dominance in general elections here. While absent post-primary polls limit granular insights, scenarios like a major Stratton scandal, surging national GOP momentum, or economic discontent boosting downstate turnout could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,268समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold in the deep-blue state, where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Illinois' D+7 partisan voter index, combined with GOP nominee Don Tracy's lower profile as a downstate former party chair, reinforces this positioning amid historical Democratic dominance in general elections here. While absent post-primary polls limit granular insights, scenarios like a major Stratton scandal, surging national GOP momentum, or economic discontent boosting downstate turnout could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$21,268समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold in the deep-blue state, where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Illinois' D+7 partisan voter index, combined with GOP nominee Don Tracy's lower profile as a downstate former party chair, reinforces this positioning amid historical Democratic dominance in general elections here. While absent post-primary polls limit granular insights, scenarios like a major Stratton scandal, surging national GOP momentum, or economic discontent boosting downstate turnout could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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