Illinois's strong Democratic partisan lean and the open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton at 94.6%. As the sitting lieutenant governor backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear establishment choice in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy, the Republican nominee after his own primary win, faces structural headwinds reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling the race Solid or Safe Democratic and forecasts projecting a roughly 20-point margin. With the November 3, 2026, election roughly three months away and no general-election polling yet available, the wide pricing gap aligns with historical voting patterns. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics, though such factors have rarely overcome Illinois's baseline Democratic advantage in recent cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$29,049 वॉल्यूम
$29,049 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जूलियाना स्ट्रैटन (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
डॉन ट्रेसी (र)
4%
$29,049 वॉल्यूम
$29,049 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जूलियाना स्ट्रैटन (डेमोक्रेट)
$14,635 वॉल्यूम
95%
डॉन ट्रेसी (र)
$14,414 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic partisan lean and the open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton at 94.6%. As the sitting lieutenant governor backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear establishment choice in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy, the Republican nominee after his own primary win, faces structural headwinds reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling the race Solid or Safe Democratic and forecasts projecting a roughly 20-point margin. With the November 3, 2026, election roughly three months away and no general-election polling yet available, the wide pricing gap aligns with historical voting patterns. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics, though such factors have rarely overcome Illinois's baseline Democratic advantage in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,049समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic partisan lean and the open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton at 94.6%. As the sitting lieutenant governor backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear establishment choice in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy, the Republican nominee after his own primary win, faces structural headwinds reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling the race Solid or Safe Democratic and forecasts projecting a roughly 20-point margin. With the November 3, 2026, election roughly three months away and no general-election polling yet available, the wide pricing gap aligns with historical voting patterns. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics, though such factors have rarely overcome Illinois's baseline Democratic advantage in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$29,049समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic partisan lean and the open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton at 94.6%. As the sitting lieutenant governor backed by Gov. JB Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear establishment choice in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. Former state GOP chair Don Tracy, the Republican nominee after his own primary win, faces structural headwinds reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling the race Solid or Safe Democratic and forecasts projecting a roughly 20-point margin. With the November 3, 2026, election roughly three months away and no general-election polling yet available, the wide pricing gap aligns with historical voting patterns. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics, though such factors have rarely overcome Illinois's baseline Democratic advantage in recent cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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