Illinois' strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-profile challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and urban turnout. The wide pricing gap reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in downstate areas could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$25,555 वॉल्यूम
$25,555 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जूलियाना स्ट्रैटन (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
डॉन ट्रेसी (र)
3%
$25,555 वॉल्यूम
$25,555 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जूलियाना स्ट्रैटन (डेमोक्रेट)
$12,904 वॉल्यूम
95%
डॉन ट्रेसी (र)
$12,651 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois' strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-profile challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and urban turnout. The wide pricing gap reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in downstate areas could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,555समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois' strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-profile challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and urban turnout. The wide pricing gap reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in downstate areas could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$25,555समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and defeated higher-profile challengers, positioning her to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and urban turnout. The wide pricing gap reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in downstate areas could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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