U.S. airstrikes targeted over 90 Iranian military sites on Kharg Island, Iran's primary Persian Gulf oil export terminal, on April 7 amid a naval blockade enforcing reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after Tehran's closure declaration. U.S. Central Command confirmed destruction of assets while preserving infrastructure, as Iranian state media released footage affirming armed forces control and uninterrupted crude loadings, evidenced by recent tanker departures on April 14. Escalation persists with 10,000 additional U.S. troops deploying to the region; diplomatic efforts via Pakistan for truce extension before April 22 expiry could avert ground operations or seizure scenarios shaping trader consensus on control shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$25,538,808 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल
<1%
30 अप्रैल
3%
31 मई
9%
30 जून
15%
$25,538,808 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल
<1%
30 अप्रैल
3%
31 मई
9%
30 जून
15%
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. airstrikes targeted over 90 Iranian military sites on Kharg Island, Iran's primary Persian Gulf oil export terminal, on April 7 amid a naval blockade enforcing reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after Tehran's closure declaration. U.S. Central Command confirmed destruction of assets while preserving infrastructure, as Iranian state media released footage affirming armed forces control and uninterrupted crude loadings, evidenced by recent tanker departures on April 14. Escalation persists with 10,000 additional U.S. troops deploying to the region; diplomatic efforts via Pakistan for truce extension before April 22 expiry could avert ground operations or seizure scenarios shaping trader consensus on control shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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