Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a competitive GOP primary challenge from Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming ahead of Louisiana's May 16 blanket primary, with recent polls like American Pulse (March 25) showing Letlow at 31%, Fleming 25%, and Cassidy 21% amid attack ads and fundraising battles—Cassidy holds $20 million cash-on-hand. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability for the general election winner, reflecting Louisiana's deep-red partisan makeup where Democrats last won a Senate seat in 2008 and no viable Democratic contender has emerged. The blanket primary structure likely advances two Republicans to a December runoff, cementing GOP dominance. Barring a GOP nominee scandal, primary chaos weakening the survivor, or an unforeseen Democratic surge, the Republican hold remains firmly intact.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican
$2,798 वॉल्यूम
91%
Democrat
$2,465 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a competitive GOP primary challenge from Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming ahead of Louisiana's May 16 blanket primary, with recent polls like American Pulse (March 25) showing Letlow at 31%, Fleming 25%, and Cassidy 21% amid attack ads and fundraising battles—Cassidy holds $20 million cash-on-hand. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability for the general election winner, reflecting Louisiana's deep-red partisan makeup where Democrats last won a Senate seat in 2008 and no viable Democratic contender has emerged. The blanket primary structure likely advances two Republicans to a December runoff, cementing GOP dominance. Barring a GOP nominee scandal, primary chaos weakening the survivor, or an unforeseen Democratic surge, the Republican hold remains firmly intact.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,263समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a competitive GOP primary challenge from Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming ahead of Louisiana's May 16 blanket primary, with recent polls like American Pulse (March 25) showing Letlow at 31%, Fleming 25%, and Cassidy 21% amid attack ads and fundraising battles—Cassidy holds $20 million cash-on-hand. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability for the general election winner, reflecting Louisiana's deep-red partisan makeup where Democrats last won a Senate seat in 2008 and no viable Democratic contender has emerged. The blanket primary structure likely advances two Republicans to a December runoff, cementing GOP dominance. Barring a GOP nominee scandal, primary chaos weakening the survivor, or an unforeseen Democratic surge, the Republican hold remains firmly intact.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$5,263समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a competitive GOP primary challenge from Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming ahead of Louisiana's May 16 blanket primary, with recent polls like American Pulse (March 25) showing Letlow at 31%, Fleming 25%, and Cassidy 21% amid attack ads and fundraising battles—Cassidy holds $20 million cash-on-hand. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability for the general election winner, reflecting Louisiana's deep-red partisan makeup where Democrats last won a Senate seat in 2008 and no viable Democratic contender has emerged. The blanket primary structure likely advances two Republicans to a December runoff, cementing GOP dominance. Barring a GOP nominee scandal, primary chaos weakening the survivor, or an unforeseen Democratic surge, the Republican hold remains firmly intact.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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