The market's near-certain consensus on a 9°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 18 stems from official observations by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming that exact low under persistent overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limited overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, aligning with model guidance and station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold rather than the seasonal average around 10–12°C. Trader positioning reflects this verified measurement, with minimal implied probability for deviations given the completed 24-hour period. Revisions to the official daily minimum or discrepancies across urban stations could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को ब्यूनस आयर्स में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C 100.0%
8°C या इससे कम <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$502 वॉल्यूम
$502 वॉल्यूम
8°C या इससे कम
नहीं
9°C
हाँ
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C या अधिक
नहीं
9°C 100.0%
8°C या इससे कम <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$502 वॉल्यूम
$502 वॉल्यूम
8°C या इससे कम
नहीं
9°C
हाँ
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C या अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The market's near-certain consensus on a 9°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 18 stems from official observations by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming that exact low under persistent overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limited overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, aligning with model guidance and station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold rather than the seasonal average around 10–12°C. Trader positioning reflects this verified measurement, with minimal implied probability for deviations given the completed 24-hour period. Revisions to the official daily minimum or discrepancies across urban stations could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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