Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 3 around 13–15°C, driven by mild westerly flow, dew points near 10–12°C, and moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with winds of 5–15 km/h. This aligns with the market's tight clustering on 13°C and 14°C outcomes, as historical September averages near 12°C but recent patterns show warmer nights. Key differentiators include small uncertainties in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings 1–2°C lower or higher, with no major cold advection expected before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against official station data from Munich-Nymphenburg.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को म्यूनिख में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 44%
13°C 36%
11°C or below 31%
15°C 26%
11°C or below
31%
12°C
23%
13°C
36%
14°C
44%
15°C
26%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
7%
14°C 44%
13°C 36%
11°C or below 31%
15°C 26%
11°C or below
31%
12°C
23%
13°C
36%
14°C
44%
15°C
26%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 3 around 13–15°C, driven by mild westerly flow, dew points near 10–12°C, and moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with winds of 5–15 km/h. This aligns with the market's tight clustering on 13°C and 14°C outcomes, as historical September averages near 12°C but recent patterns show warmer nights. Key differentiators include small uncertainties in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings 1–2°C lower or higher, with no major cold advection expected before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against official station data from Munich-Nymphenburg.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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