Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reaching exactly 15°C, driven by convergence across short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS, which project a pre-dawn minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and moderating East China Sea influence. Recent observations confirm May 3–4 lows near 13–14°C amid overcast conditions, with transitioning high-pressure patterns now favoring radiative cooling to precisely 15°C, aligning with early-May climatological norms of 15.5°C amid a mild cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening cloud cover trapping heat above 15°C or gusty winds advecting cooler air below, though model agreement yields high confidence; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by midnight UTC.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 5?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$28,340 वॉल्यूम
$28,340 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$28,340 वॉल्यूम
$28,340 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
11°C or below
$5,135 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$5,849 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$2,942 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$5,017 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$4,040 वॉल्यूम
Yes
16°C
$1,925 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$515 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$526 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$688 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$860 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C or higher
$844 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reaching exactly 15°C, driven by convergence across short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS, which project a pre-dawn minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and moderating East China Sea influence. Recent observations confirm May 3–4 lows near 13–14°C amid overcast conditions, with transitioning high-pressure patterns now favoring radiative cooling to precisely 15°C, aligning with early-May climatological norms of 15.5°C amid a mild cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening cloud cover trapping heat above 15°C or gusty winds advecting cooler air below, though model agreement yields high confidence; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,340समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reaching exactly 15°C, driven by convergence across short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS, which project a pre-dawn minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and moderating East China Sea influence. Recent observations confirm May 3–4 lows near 13–14°C amid overcast conditions, with transitioning high-pressure patterns now favoring radiative cooling to precisely 15°C, aligning with early-May climatological norms of 15.5°C amid a mild cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening cloud cover trapping heat above 15°C or gusty winds advecting cooler air below, though model agreement yields high confidence; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$28,340समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reaching exactly 15°C, driven by convergence across short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS, which project a pre-dawn minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and moderating East China Sea influence. Recent observations confirm May 3–4 lows near 13–14°C amid overcast conditions, with transitioning high-pressure patterns now favoring radiative cooling to precisely 15°C, aligning with early-May climatological norms of 15.5°C amid a mild cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening cloud cover trapping heat above 15°C or gusty winds advecting cooler air below, though model agreement yields high confidence; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by midnight UTC.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न