Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$19,729 वॉल्यूम
$19,729 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$19,729 वॉल्यूम
$19,729 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
9°C or below
$1,036 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$2,574 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$2,071 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$1,766 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$1,577 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$1,429 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$1,494 वॉल्यूम
Yes
16°C
$1,418 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$1,031 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$2,602 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C or higher
$2,731 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,729समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$19,729समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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