**Trader consensus has converged on a 16°C low for Warsaw on August 21 at 98% implied probability.** Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national models indicate an overnight minimum near 16°C, supported by passing showers, light southwesterly winds, and sufficient cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with observed surface temperatures and prevent the stronger nocturnal drops typical under clear, calm skies. Historical August climatology for Warsaw shows average lows around 13–15°C, but the current pattern favors a slightly milder outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and calm conditions allowing temperatures to fall to 15°C or below before official verification at the primary reporting station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 98%
15°C 2%
13°C <1%
12°C या उससे कम <1%
$4,598 वॉल्यूम
$4,598 वॉल्यूम
12°C या उससे कम
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
16°C 98%
15°C 2%
13°C <1%
12°C या उससे कम <1%
$4,598 वॉल्यूम
$4,598 वॉल्यूम
12°C या उससे कम
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 16°C low for Warsaw on August 21 at 98% implied probability.** Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national models indicate an overnight minimum near 16°C, supported by passing showers, light southwesterly winds, and sufficient cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with observed surface temperatures and prevent the stronger nocturnal drops typical under clear, calm skies. Historical August climatology for Warsaw shows average lows around 13–15°C, but the current pattern favors a slightly milder outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and calm conditions allowing temperatures to fall to 15°C or below before official verification at the primary reporting station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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