Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiative cooling under moderate humidity, while light westerly winds and any passing showers limit further drops below 12 °C or pushes above 15 °C. With the date less than 24 hours away, resolution hinges on precise timing of cloud cover and frontal passage; historical August averages near 13 °C provide context, but short-term model spreads explain why no single threshold exceeds 31 % implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 31%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
10°C or below 23%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
10°C or below
23%
11°C
7%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
31%
15°C
30%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 31%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
10°C or below 23%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
10°C or below
$10 वॉल्यूम
23%
11°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
7%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
13°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
29%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
15°C
$28 वॉल्यूम
30%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
18°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
6%
19°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C or higher
$30 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiative cooling under moderate humidity, while light westerly winds and any passing showers limit further drops below 12 °C or pushes above 15 °C. With the date less than 24 hours away, resolution hinges on precise timing of cloud cover and frontal passage; historical August averages near 13 °C provide context, but short-term model spreads explain why no single threshold exceeds 31 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$112समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiative cooling under moderate humidity, while light westerly winds and any passing showers limit further drops below 12 °C or pushes above 15 °C. With the date less than 24 hours away, resolution hinges on precise timing of cloud cover and frontal passage; historical August averages near 13 °C provide context, but short-term model spreads explain why no single threshold exceeds 31 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$112समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiative cooling under moderate humidity, while light westerly winds and any passing showers limit further drops below 12 °C or pushes above 15 °C. With the date less than 24 hours away, resolution hinges on precise timing of cloud cover and frontal passage; historical August averages near 13 °C provide context, but short-term model spreads explain why no single threshold exceeds 31 % implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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