Wellington's mild winter conditions on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and above-average temperatures, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 12°C minimum. Official forecasts from agencies like MetService and observations at Wellington Airport show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with recent model runs projecting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the day's observed range of roughly 12–14°C, reflecting a warmer-than-climatological pattern for late August. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected wind lull or clearer skies late in the evening allowed temperatures to dip below the threshold before official recording closes, though current data and short-term guidance make such a deviation unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
$4,905 वॉल्यूम
$4,905 वॉल्यूम
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
$4,905 वॉल्यूम
$4,905 वॉल्यूम
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Wellington's mild winter conditions on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and above-average temperatures, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 12°C minimum. Official forecasts from agencies like MetService and observations at Wellington Airport show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with recent model runs projecting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the day's observed range of roughly 12–14°C, reflecting a warmer-than-climatological pattern for late August. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected wind lull or clearer skies late in the evening allowed temperatures to dip below the threshold before official recording closes, though current data and short-term guidance make such a deviation unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न