Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 59.7% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry first half of the month with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through mid-April—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal. Persistent high-pressure ridges have suppressed low-pressure systems and frontal passages, amplified by ENSO-neutral conditions that allow for variable Northeast spring patterns without strong teleconnection forcing. NOAA's April precipitation outlook shows equal chances for near-normal amounts in the region, but recent model ensembles from the National Weather Service indicate limited rainfall potential through month's end amid warmer-than-average temperatures. Updated daily forecasts will clarify if dry anomalies persist or shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPrecipitation in NYC in April?
Precipitation in NYC in April?
<2" 59.6%
2-3" 22%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 वॉल्यूम
$46,482 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<2"
60%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
<2" 59.6%
2-3" 22%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 वॉल्यूम
$46,482 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<2"
$10,003 वॉल्यूम
60%
2-3"
$12,172 वॉल्यूम
22%
3-4"
$9,357 वॉल्यूम
3%
4-5"
$12,853 वॉल्यूम
6%
5-6"
$1,052 वॉल्यूम
2%
>6"
$1,046 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 59.7% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry first half of the month with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through mid-April—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal. Persistent high-pressure ridges have suppressed low-pressure systems and frontal passages, amplified by ENSO-neutral conditions that allow for variable Northeast spring patterns without strong teleconnection forcing. NOAA's April precipitation outlook shows equal chances for near-normal amounts in the region, but recent model ensembles from the National Weather Service indicate limited rainfall potential through month's end amid warmer-than-average temperatures. Updated daily forecasts will clarify if dry anomalies persist or shift.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,482समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 59.7% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry first half of the month with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through mid-April—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal. Persistent high-pressure ridges have suppressed low-pressure systems and frontal passages, amplified by ENSO-neutral conditions that allow for variable Northeast spring patterns without strong teleconnection forcing. NOAA's April precipitation outlook shows equal chances for near-normal amounts in the region, but recent model ensembles from the National Weather Service indicate limited rainfall potential through month's end amid warmer-than-average temperatures. Updated daily forecasts will clarify if dry anomalies persist or shift.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$46,482समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 59.7% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry first half of the month with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through mid-April—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal. Persistent high-pressure ridges have suppressed low-pressure systems and frontal passages, amplified by ENSO-neutral conditions that allow for variable Northeast spring patterns without strong teleconnection forcing. NOAA's April precipitation outlook shows equal chances for near-normal amounts in the region, but recent model ensembles from the National Weather Service indicate limited rainfall potential through month's end amid warmer-than-average temperatures. Updated daily forecasts will clarify if dry anomalies persist or shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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