OpenAI's sustained leadership in agent tooling and model releases drives the 70% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, backed by its Agents SDK updates, GPT-6 Astra emphasis on computer use and cybersecurity, and broad developer adoption. Recent September launches, including Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for coding agents alongside OpenAI's Codex CLI and prompt-cache improvements, highlight intense competition, while benchmark volatility across leaderboards shows OpenAI and Anthropic models trading top spots in planning and tool-use evals. A joint safety standards effort among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds context on frontier coordination, though agent containment incidents earlier this year underscore execution risks. Meta's Muse expansions and open-weight gains from labs like Moonshot or DeepSeek represent swing factors that could shift sentiment ahead of November resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 70%
Anthropic 17%
Moonshot 5%
अमेज़न 3.8%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
OpenAI
70%
Anthropic
17%
Moonshot
5%
अमेज़न
4%
3%
Z.ai
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
मेटा
3%
अलीबाबा
3%
मिस्टरेल
3%
ByteDance
3%
Xiaomi
3%
Microsoft
3%
DeepSeek
3%
Meituan
3%
Nvidia
3%
Baidu
1%
मिनीमैक्स
1%
Tencent
1%
OpenAI 70%
Anthropic 17%
Moonshot 5%
अमेज़न 3.8%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
OpenAI
$657 वॉल्यूम
70%
Anthropic
$590 वॉल्यूम
17%
Moonshot
$525 वॉल्यूम
5%
अमेज़न
$204 वॉल्यूम
4%
$470 वॉल्यूम
3%
Z.ai
$190 वॉल्यूम
3%
SpaceXAI
$213 वॉल्यूम
3%
मेटा
$180 वॉल्यूम
3%
अलीबाबा
$168 वॉल्यूम
3%
मिस्टरेल
$168 वॉल्यूम
3%
ByteDance
$168 वॉल्यूम
3%
Xiaomi
$158 वॉल्यूम
3%
Microsoft
$168 वॉल्यूम
3%
DeepSeek
$168 वॉल्यूम
3%
Meituan
$188 वॉल्यूम
3%
Nvidia
$284 वॉल्यूम
3%
Baidu
$387 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिनीमैक्स
$475 वॉल्यूम
1%
Tencent
$168 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's sustained leadership in agent tooling and model releases drives the 70% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, backed by its Agents SDK updates, GPT-6 Astra emphasis on computer use and cybersecurity, and broad developer adoption. Recent September launches, including Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for coding agents alongside OpenAI's Codex CLI and prompt-cache improvements, highlight intense competition, while benchmark volatility across leaderboards shows OpenAI and Anthropic models trading top spots in planning and tool-use evals. A joint safety standards effort among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds context on frontier coordination, though agent containment incidents earlier this year underscore execution risks. Meta's Muse expansions and open-weight gains from labs like Moonshot or DeepSeek represent swing factors that could shift sentiment ahead of November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,532समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's sustained leadership in agent tooling and model releases drives the 70% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, backed by its Agents SDK updates, GPT-6 Astra emphasis on computer use and cybersecurity, and broad developer adoption. Recent September launches, including Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for coding agents alongside OpenAI's Codex CLI and prompt-cache improvements, highlight intense competition, while benchmark volatility across leaderboards shows OpenAI and Anthropic models trading top spots in planning and tool-use evals. A joint safety standards effort among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds context on frontier coordination, though agent containment incidents earlier this year underscore execution risks. Meta's Muse expansions and open-weight gains from labs like Moonshot or DeepSeek represent swing factors that could shift sentiment ahead of November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$5,532समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...OpenAI's sustained leadership in agent tooling and model releases drives the 70% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, backed by its Agents SDK updates, GPT-6 Astra emphasis on computer use and cybersecurity, and broad developer adoption. Recent September launches, including Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for coding agents alongside OpenAI's Codex CLI and prompt-cache improvements, highlight intense competition, while benchmark volatility across leaderboards shows OpenAI and Anthropic models trading top spots in planning and tool-use evals. A joint safety standards effort among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds context on frontier coordination, though agent containment incidents earlier this year underscore execution risks. Meta's Muse expansions and open-weight gains from labs like Moonshot or DeepSeek represent swing factors that could shift sentiment ahead of November resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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