Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले किसे गिरफ्तार किया जाएगा?
2027 से पहले किसे गिरफ्तार किया जाएगा?
$360,243 वॉल्यूम
एंथोनी फाउची
12%
जॉन ब्रेनन
29%
होसे लुइस रोड्रिगेज़ ज़ापातेरो
23%
एडम शिफ़
3%
बराक ओबामा
1%
जेम्स कोमी
6%
महमूद खलील
27%
जेम्स क्लैपर
14%
लेटिटिया जेम्स
13%
हिलेरी क्लिंटन
3%
बिल क्लिंटन
3%
लोरेटा लिंच
10%
सूसन राइस
9%
कैंडेस ओवेन्स
6%
गेविन न्यूज़ॉम
3%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
5%
जॉन केरी
3%
पाम बॉन्डी
4%
टॉम होमन
11%
काश पटेल
3%
ब्रैंडन जॉनसन
8%
लिसा कुक
11%
ली जून-सिओक
11%
जो बाइडेन
2%
$360,243 वॉल्यूम
एंथोनी फाउची
$131,231 वॉल्यूम
12%
जॉन ब्रेनन
$18,168 वॉल्यूम
29%
होसे लुइस रोड्रिगेज़ ज़ापातेरो
$21,642 वॉल्यूम
23%
एडम शिफ़
$16,394 वॉल्यूम
3%
बराक ओबामा
$28,484 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेम्स कोमी
$9,602 वॉल्यूम
6%
महमूद खलील
$1,278 वॉल्यूम
27%
जेम्स क्लैपर
$6,706 वॉल्यूम
14%
लेटिटिया जेम्स
$2,821 वॉल्यूम
13%
हिलेरी क्लिंटन
$25,009 वॉल्यूम
3%
बिल क्लिंटन
$2,008 वॉल्यूम
3%
लोरेटा लिंच
$2,376 वॉल्यूम
10%
सूसन राइस
$304 वॉल्यूम
9%
कैंडेस ओवेन्स
$263 वॉल्यूम
6%
गेविन न्यूज़ॉम
$37,141 वॉल्यूम
3%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
$1,789 वॉल्यूम
5%
जॉन केरी
$346 वॉल्यूम
3%
पाम बॉन्डी
$1,998 वॉल्यूम
4%
टॉम होमन
$39,428 वॉल्यूम
11%
काश पटेल
$530 वॉल्यूम
3%
ब्रैंडन जॉनसन
$3,174 वॉल्यूम
8%
लिसा कुक
$3,218 वॉल्यूम
11%
ली जून-सिओक
$794 वॉल्यूम
11%
जो बाइडेन
$5,538 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$360,243बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$360,243बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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