The UAE’s exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, already satisfied one departure this year amid long-standing quota disputes and regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict. Subsequent reports of Iraq weighing withdrawal over production limits in June prompted official denials and continued quota negotiations, while Venezuela’s rumored interest has been described by analysts as structurally plausible but not imminent. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, have sustained monthly output coordination meetings through September with no further exits. These developments, combined with the group’s history of absorbing prior departures such as Angola, underpin trader consensus that no additional country will leave before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
27% संभावना
$177,732 वॉल्यूम
$177,732 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
27% संभावना
$177,732 वॉल्यूम
$177,732 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE’s exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, already satisfied one departure this year amid long-standing quota disputes and regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict. Subsequent reports of Iraq weighing withdrawal over production limits in June prompted official denials and continued quota negotiations, while Venezuela’s rumored interest has been described by analysts as structurally plausible but not imminent. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, have sustained monthly output coordination meetings through September with no further exits. These developments, combined with the group’s history of absorbing prior departures such as Angola, underpin trader consensus that no additional country will leave before year-end.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$177,732समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE’s exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, already satisfied one departure this year amid long-standing quota disputes and regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict. Subsequent reports of Iraq weighing withdrawal over production limits in June prompted official denials and continued quota negotiations, while Venezuela’s rumored interest has been described by analysts as structurally plausible but not imminent. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, have sustained monthly output coordination meetings through September with no further exits. These developments, combined with the group’s history of absorbing prior departures such as Angola, underpin trader consensus that no additional country will leave before year-end.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$177,732समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The UAE’s exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, already satisfied one departure this year amid long-standing quota disputes and regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict. Subsequent reports of Iraq weighing withdrawal over production limits in June prompted official denials and continued quota negotiations, while Venezuela’s rumored interest has been described by analysts as structurally plausible but not imminent. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, have sustained monthly output coordination meetings through September with no further exits. These developments, combined with the group’s history of absorbing prior departures such as Angola, underpin trader consensus that no additional country will leave before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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