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icon for क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?

क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?

icon for क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?

क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?

हाँ

4% संभावना
Polymarket

$526,664 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

4% संभावना
Polymarket

$526,664 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 95.8% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of verifiable health concerns, legal pressures, or institutional signals that would compel an early exit during his second term. Public statements from administration officials emphasize completion of the full term, while midterm election dynamics and ongoing policy priorities such as foreign policy negotiations show no indication of voluntary departure. Historical patterns of presidential tenure further support this consensus, as sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute crises. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event, sustained congressional investigations producing bipartisan pressure, or an unexpected post-election calculation by Trump himself.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$526,664
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 95.8% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of verifiable health concerns, legal pressures, or institutional signals that would compel an early exit during his second term. Public statements from administration officials emphasize completion of the full term, while midterm election dynamics and ongoing policy priorities such as foreign policy negotiations show no indication of voluntary departure. Historical patterns of presidential tenure further support this consensus, as sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute crises. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event, sustained congressional investigations producing bipartisan pressure, or an unexpected post-election calculation by Trump himself.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$526,664
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा देंगे? 4% (4¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?" ने कुल $526.7K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jul 25, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा देंगे?" केवल 4% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

"क्या ट्रम्प 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक इस्तीफा दे देंगे?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।