Trump’s second term, now roughly 19 months old as of August 2026, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure despite staff turnover, midterm pressures, and public speculation from critics about health or fatigue. Presidents have completed second terms at high rates absent acute legal or medical crises, and Trump continues policy initiatives, foreign engagements including the Iran conflict, and public appearances while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent against resignation before 2027 aligns with this record and the lack of primary-source evidence for early exit. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden incapacitating health event, bipartisan impeachment momentum after midterms, or an unprecedented personal decision tied to war fatigue or approval erosion below 40 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
3% संभावना
$23,418 वॉल्यूम
$23,418 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
3% संभावना
$23,418 वॉल्यूम
$23,418 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, now roughly 19 months old as of August 2026, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure despite staff turnover, midterm pressures, and public speculation from critics about health or fatigue. Presidents have completed second terms at high rates absent acute legal or medical crises, and Trump continues policy initiatives, foreign engagements including the Iran conflict, and public appearances while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent against resignation before 2027 aligns with this record and the lack of primary-source evidence for early exit. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden incapacitating health event, bipartisan impeachment momentum after midterms, or an unprecedented personal decision tied to war fatigue or approval erosion below 40 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,418समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, now roughly 19 months old as of August 2026, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure despite staff turnover, midterm pressures, and public speculation from critics about health or fatigue. Presidents have completed second terms at high rates absent acute legal or medical crises, and Trump continues policy initiatives, foreign engagements including the Iran conflict, and public appearances while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent against resignation before 2027 aligns with this record and the lack of primary-source evidence for early exit. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden incapacitating health event, bipartisan impeachment momentum after midterms, or an unprecedented personal decision tied to war fatigue or approval erosion below 40 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$23,418समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second term, now roughly 19 months old as of August 2026, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure despite staff turnover, midterm pressures, and public speculation from critics about health or fatigue. Presidents have completed second terms at high rates absent acute legal or medical crises, and Trump continues policy initiatives, foreign engagements including the Iran conflict, and public appearances while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent against resignation before 2027 aligns with this record and the lack of primary-source evidence for early exit. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden incapacitating health event, bipartisan impeachment momentum after midterms, or an unprecedented personal decision tied to war fatigue or approval erosion below 40 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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