Recent advances in large language model reasoning have driven sharp shifts in this market, yet trader consensus still favors “No” at 73% implied probability. Official IMO grading of 2026 problems in Shanghai confirmed perfect 42/42 scores from Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, with additional models such as Claude Opus 5 and SK Telecom’s A.X K2 reaching or exceeding the 29-point gold threshold under controlled conditions. These results build on 2025 gold-medal performances (35/42) by Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI systems. However, uncertainty persists around verification standards—official coordinator grading versus self-administered or agent-graded submissions—problem difficulty variation year to year, and whether models operated fully within contest rules without external tools. Upcoming clarification on market resolution criteria and any further independent audits remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui15% peluang
$10,014 Vol.
$10,014 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
15% peluang
$10,014 Vol.
$10,014 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent advances in large language model reasoning have driven sharp shifts in this market, yet trader consensus still favors “No” at 73% implied probability. Official IMO grading of 2026 problems in Shanghai confirmed perfect 42/42 scores from Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, with additional models such as Claude Opus 5 and SK Telecom’s A.X K2 reaching or exceeding the 29-point gold threshold under controlled conditions. These results build on 2025 gold-medal performances (35/42) by Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI systems. However, uncertainty persists around verification standards—official coordinator grading versus self-administered or agent-graded submissions—problem difficulty variation year to year, and whether models operated fully within contest rules without external tools. Upcoming clarification on market resolution criteria and any further independent audits remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$10,014Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent advances in large language model reasoning have driven sharp shifts in this market, yet trader consensus still favors “No” at 73% implied probability. Official IMO grading of 2026 problems in Shanghai confirmed perfect 42/42 scores from Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, with additional models such as Claude Opus 5 and SK Telecom’s A.X K2 reaching or exceeding the 29-point gold threshold under controlled conditions. These results build on 2025 gold-medal performances (35/42) by Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI systems. However, uncertainty persists around verification standards—official coordinator grading versus self-administered or agent-graded submissions—problem difficulty variation year to year, and whether models operated fully within contest rules without external tools. Upcoming clarification on market resolution criteria and any further independent audits remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$10,014Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent advances in large language model reasoning have driven sharp shifts in this market, yet trader consensus still favors “No” at 73% implied probability. Official IMO grading of 2026 problems in Shanghai confirmed perfect 42/42 scores from Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, with additional models such as Claude Opus 5 and SK Telecom’s A.X K2 reaching or exceeding the 29-point gold threshold under controlled conditions. These results build on 2025 gold-medal performances (35/42) by Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI systems. However, uncertainty persists around verification standards—official coordinator grading versus self-administered or agent-graded submissions—problem difficulty variation year to year, and whether models operated fully within contest rules without external tools. Upcoming clarification on market resolution criteria and any further independent audits remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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