Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her incumbency after a decisive 2025 special election victory and the district’s consistent Democratic lean. She defeated Daniel Butierez by roughly 40 points in that contest, mirroring her father’s prior margins in a majority-Hispanic border district where Democrats hold a nearly 2-to-1 registration edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primaries, and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Fundraising disparities further favor Grijalva. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before November, though such events have not materialized in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$32,780 Vol.
$32,780 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
96%
Daniel Butierez (R)
5%
$32,780 Vol.
$32,780 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
$5,800 Vol.
96%
Daniel Butierez (R)
$26,980 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her incumbency after a decisive 2025 special election victory and the district’s consistent Democratic lean. She defeated Daniel Butierez by roughly 40 points in that contest, mirroring her father’s prior margins in a majority-Hispanic border district where Democrats hold a nearly 2-to-1 registration edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primaries, and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Fundraising disparities further favor Grijalva. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before November, though such events have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$32,780Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her incumbency after a decisive 2025 special election victory and the district’s consistent Democratic lean. She defeated Daniel Butierez by roughly 40 points in that contest, mirroring her father’s prior margins in a majority-Hispanic border district where Democrats hold a nearly 2-to-1 registration edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primaries, and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Fundraising disparities further favor Grijalva. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before November, though such events have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,780Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her incumbency after a decisive 2025 special election victory and the district’s consistent Democratic lean. She defeated Daniel Butierez by roughly 40 points in that contest, mirroring her father’s prior margins in a majority-Hispanic border district where Democrats hold a nearly 2-to-1 registration edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primaries, and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Fundraising disparities further favor Grijalva. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before November, though such events have not materialized in recent cycles.
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