Skip to main content
icon for CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

icon for CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

$37,039 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$37,039 Vol.

Polymarket

Eric Jones

$7,156 Vol.

98%

Mike Thompson

$7,491 Vol.

96%

Laurie MacKenzie

$722 Vol.

4%

John Wesley Tyler

$1,903 Vol.

2%

Mandy Ghusar

$3,238 Vol.

1%

Trevor Merrell

$10,817 Vol.

1%

Heath Fulkerson

$1,718 Vol.

<1%

Sharon Brown

$3,994 Vol.

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 4th congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime Democratic incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection in a district that includes Napa, Sutter, and Yuba counties along with portions of Yolo, Lake, Placer, and Sacramento. Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and multiple Republican candidates including Ray Riehle, Sharon Brown, and Mandy Ghusar. The district’s strong Democratic lean and Thompson’s nearly three-decade tenure in Congress shape the race, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in the campaign. Under California’s top-two system, the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election regardless of party. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, affordability, and tariffs, with no major late developments altering the established dynamics ahead of election day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37,039
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 4th congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime Democratic incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection in a district that includes Napa, Sutter, and Yuba counties along with portions of Yolo, Lake, Placer, and Sacramento. Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and multiple Republican candidates including Ray Riehle, Sharon Brown, and Mandy Ghusar. The district’s strong Democratic lean and Thompson’s nearly three-decade tenure in Congress shape the race, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in the campaign. Under California’s top-two system, the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election regardless of party. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, affordability, and tariffs, with no major late developments altering the established dynamics ahead of election day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37,039
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CA-04 Primary Winners" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Eric Jones" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Mike Thompson" di 96%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CA-04 Primary Winners" telah menghasilkan $37K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CA-04 Primary Winners," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CA-04 Primary Winners" adalah "Eric Jones" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mike Thompson" di 96%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CA-04 Primary Winners" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.