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Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia

Market icon
Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia

Paloma Valencia 42.1%

Iván Cepeda Castro 37%

Abelardo de la Espriella 19%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) <1%

Polymarket

$20,770,191 Vol.

Paloma Valencia 42.1%

Iván Cepeda Castro 37%

Abelardo de la Espriella 19%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) <1%

Polymarket

$20,770,191 Vol.

Apakah Paloma Valencia akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia tahun 2026? icon

Paloma Valencia

$668,747 Vol.

42%

Apakah Ivan Cepeda Castro akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Iván Cepeda Castro

$524,447 Vol.

37%

Apakah Abelardo de la Espriella akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Abelardo de la Espriella

$693,348 Vol.

19%

Apakah Sergio Fajardo akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,366,496 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Claudia López akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Claudia López (IND)

$683,519 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Luis Gilberto Murillo akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,313,542 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Carlos Felipe Córdoba akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

$118,491 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Juan Daniel Oviedo akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$838,047 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Germán Vargas Lleras akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,200,234 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Roy Barreras akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Roy Barreras

$789,387 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Vicky Dávila akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$2,517,044 Vol.

<1%

Apakah David Luna Sánchez akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$1,424,888 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Gustavo Bolívar akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$3,166,673 Vol.

<1%

Akankah Juan Manuel Galán memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$666,111 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Mauricio Cardenas akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,389,287 Vol.

<1%

Akankah Daniel Quintero memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Daniel Quintero

$688,301 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Enrique Peñalosa akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Enrique Peñalosa

$1,283,517 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Juan Carlos Pinzón akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Kolombia 2026? icon

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$413,598 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices moderate Candidate M at a slim 49.5% implied probability to win Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election or subsequent June 21 runoff, edging Paloma Valencia (42%) and Iván Cepeda Castro (37%) in a fragmented race prone to no outright majority. Recent April polls like AtlasIntel place Cepeda atop first-round intention at 37%, buoyed by Historic Pact's March 8 legislative plurality—topping Senate and House seats without a supermajority—but traders favor moderates amid Petro administration's uneven approval, persistent security threats, and economic strains. Valencia's surge post-right-wing consultas reflects consolidation potential; endorsements, debates, or security incidents could separate frontrunners before ballots close.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$20,770,191
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices moderate Candidate M at a slim 49.5% implied probability to win Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election or subsequent June 21 runoff, edging Paloma Valencia (42%) and Iván Cepeda Castro (37%) in a fragmented race prone to no outright majority. Recent April polls like AtlasIntel place Cepeda atop first-round intention at 37%, buoyed by Historic Pact's March 8 legislative plurality—topping Senate and House seats without a supermajority—but traders favor moderates amid Petro administration's uneven approval, persistent security threats, and economic strains. Valencia's surge post-right-wing consultas reflects consolidation potential; endorsements, debates, or security incidents could separate frontrunners before ballots close.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$20,770,191
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 19 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Paloma Valencia" di 42%, diikuti oleh "Iván Cepeda Castro" di 37%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" telah menghasilkan $20.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 29, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia," jelajahi 19 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" adalah "Paloma Valencia" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Iván Cepeda Castro" di 37%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Kolombia" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.