Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the early procedural stages of recent investigations despite escalating allegations. In mid-April 2026, the House Ethics Committee opened a probe into sexual misconduct claims from multiple accusers, prompting Swalwell's resignation from Congress; the DOJ launched a parallel investigation, joined by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys. A prior November 2025 mortgage fraud referral to DOJ yielded no charges. Federal and local processes—from allegation review to indictment and arrest warrant—typically require months, with no scheduled hearings or probable cause developments reported, underscoring substantial barriers absent rapid escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$10,586 Vol.
$10,586 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$10,586 Vol.
$10,586 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the early procedural stages of recent investigations despite escalating allegations. In mid-April 2026, the House Ethics Committee opened a probe into sexual misconduct claims from multiple accusers, prompting Swalwell's resignation from Congress; the DOJ launched a parallel investigation, joined by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys. A prior November 2025 mortgage fraud referral to DOJ yielded no charges. Federal and local processes—from allegation review to indictment and arrest warrant—typically require months, with no scheduled hearings or probable cause developments reported, underscoring substantial barriers absent rapid escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,586Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the early procedural stages of recent investigations despite escalating allegations. In mid-April 2026, the House Ethics Committee opened a probe into sexual misconduct claims from multiple accusers, prompting Swalwell's resignation from Congress; the DOJ launched a parallel investigation, joined by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys. A prior November 2025 mortgage fraud referral to DOJ yielded no charges. Federal and local processes—from allegation review to indictment and arrest warrant—typically require months, with no scheduled hearings or probable cause developments reported, underscoring substantial barriers absent rapid escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,586Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, reflecting the early procedural stages of recent investigations despite escalating allegations. In mid-April 2026, the House Ethics Committee opened a probe into sexual misconduct claims from multiple accusers, prompting Swalwell's resignation from Congress; the DOJ launched a parallel investigation, joined by Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys. A prior November 2025 mortgage fraud referral to DOJ yielded no charges. Federal and local processes—from allegation review to indictment and arrest warrant—typically require months, with no scheduled hearings or probable cause developments reported, underscoring substantial barriers absent rapid escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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