In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTiago 26%
Michelle Bolsonaro 25%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 24%
Marley 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Tiago
26%
Michelle Bolsonaro
25%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
24%
Marley
24%
David Horn
24%
Bia Kicis
24%
Leila do Vôlei
23%
Avenir Rosa
21%
Erika Kokay
21%
Zanata
21%
Ronaldo Fonseca
21%
Sebastião Coelho
20%
Guto Felício dos Santos
19%
Tiago 26%
Michelle Bolsonaro 25%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 24%
Marley 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Tiago
$0 Vol.
26%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
25%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$0 Vol.
24%
Marley
$0 Vol.
24%
David Horn
$0 Vol.
24%
Bia Kicis
$0 Vol.
24%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Vol.
23%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Vol.
21%
Erika Kokay
$0 Vol.
21%
Zanata
$0 Vol.
21%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Vol.
21%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Vol.
20%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 Vol.
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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