The open FL-16 seat, vacated by longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, favors the GOP nominee Sydney Gruters due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a Trump margin of roughly 8-15 points and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Gruters secured the Republican primary with over 63% after strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Kelly Kirschner prevailed in her primary but faces an uphill path in a district redrawn to benefit Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the seat's fundamentals even after the DCCC added it to its target list. A late August poll sponsored by Kirschner showed a statistical tie with high undecideds, yet the overall trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$25,759 Vol.
$25,759 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
$25,759 Vol.
$25,759 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$9,773 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$15,986 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open FL-16 seat, vacated by longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, favors the GOP nominee Sydney Gruters due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a Trump margin of roughly 8-15 points and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Gruters secured the Republican primary with over 63% after strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Kelly Kirschner prevailed in her primary but faces an uphill path in a district redrawn to benefit Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the seat's fundamentals even after the DCCC added it to its target list. A late August poll sponsored by Kirschner showed a statistical tie with high undecideds, yet the overall trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$25,759Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open FL-16 seat, vacated by longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, favors the GOP nominee Sydney Gruters due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a Trump margin of roughly 8-15 points and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Gruters secured the Republican primary with over 63% after strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Kelly Kirschner prevailed in her primary but faces an uphill path in a district redrawn to benefit Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the seat's fundamentals even after the DCCC added it to its target list. A late August poll sponsored by Kirschner showed a statistical tie with high undecideds, yet the overall trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,759Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open FL-16 seat, vacated by longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, favors the GOP nominee Sydney Gruters due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a Trump margin of roughly 8-15 points and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Gruters secured the Republican primary with over 63% after strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Kelly Kirschner prevailed in her primary but faces an uphill path in a district redrawn to benefit Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the seat's fundamentals even after the DCCC added it to its target list. A late August poll sponsored by Kirschner showed a statistical tie with high undecideds, yet the overall trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
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