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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

Lois Frankel 77%

Oliver Adams Larkin 7.2%

Victoria Doyle <1%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Polymarket

$33,297 Vol.

Lois Frankel 77%

Oliver Adams Larkin 7.2%

Victoria Doyle <1%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Polymarket

$33,297 Vol.

Lois Frankel

$2,535 Vol.

82%

Oliver Adams Larkin

$13,928 Vol.

7%

Victoria Doyle

$1,261 Vol.

1%

Jared Moskowitz

$15,573 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lois Frankel, the Democratic incumbent from the neighboring 22nd district, filed to run in the redrawn 23rd after Florida’s April 2026 legislative map placed most of her prior constituents in the new seat. This redistricting shift, combined with her established fundraising and name recognition in overlapping Palm Beach and Broward areas, underpins trader consensus on her primary nomination. Jared Moskowitz, the prior 23rd district representative, has instead pursued another seat, reducing competition. Minor candidates including Oliver Adams Larkin and Victoria Doyle remain on the August 18, 2026 ballot but show limited organizational or financial support relative to the frontrunner in this solidly Democratic primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$33,297
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lois Frankel, the Democratic incumbent from the neighboring 22nd district, filed to run in the redrawn 23rd after Florida’s April 2026 legislative map placed most of her prior constituents in the new seat. This redistricting shift, combined with her established fundraising and name recognition in overlapping Palm Beach and Broward areas, underpins trader consensus on her primary nomination. Jared Moskowitz, the prior 23rd district representative, has instead pursued another seat, reducing competition. Minor candidates including Oliver Adams Larkin and Victoria Doyle remain on the August 18, 2026 ballot but show limited organizational or financial support relative to the frontrunner in this solidly Democratic primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$33,297
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lois Frankel" di 82%, diikuti oleh "Oliver Adams Larkin" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 82¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 82% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $33.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 19, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Lois Frankel" di 82%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 82% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Oliver Adams Larkin" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.