Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in long-term voting patterns, with the last Republican general election victory in the state occurring decades ago. Incumbent Jill Tokuda secured the Democratic nomination on August 8 with over 91 percent of the primary vote, facing only token opposition and advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican state Senator Brenton Awa. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and consistent electoral margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors, though scenarios such as an unforeseen national partisan shift, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking local controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHI-02 House Election Winner
HI-02 House Election Winner
$63,525 Vol.
$63,525 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$63,525 Vol.
$63,525 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$43,095 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$20,430 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in long-term voting patterns, with the last Republican general election victory in the state occurring decades ago. Incumbent Jill Tokuda secured the Democratic nomination on August 8 with over 91 percent of the primary vote, facing only token opposition and advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican state Senator Brenton Awa. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and consistent electoral margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors, though scenarios such as an unforeseen national partisan shift, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking local controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$63,525Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in long-term voting patterns, with the last Republican general election victory in the state occurring decades ago. Incumbent Jill Tokuda secured the Democratic nomination on August 8 with over 91 percent of the primary vote, facing only token opposition and advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican state Senator Brenton Awa. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and consistent electoral margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors, though scenarios such as an unforeseen national partisan shift, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking local controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,525Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in long-term voting patterns, with the last Republican general election victory in the state occurring decades ago. Incumbent Jill Tokuda secured the Democratic nomination on August 8 with over 91 percent of the primary vote, facing only token opposition and advancing to the November 3 general election against Republican state Senator Brenton Awa. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and consistent electoral margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors, though scenarios such as an unforeseen national partisan shift, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking local controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
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