National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 88°F on May 9 under low morning clouds and fog giving way to clearing skies by late morning, enabling stronger solar insolation and rapid diurnal heating from current mid-morning readings around 73°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This aligns with climatological May normals near 84°F and recent drier air masses following prior wetter conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Model ensembles show strong agreement on upper-80s peaks absent persistent overcast; realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or isolated showers delaying clearance, though low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through afternoon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on May 9?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$86,417 Vol.
$86,417 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$86,417 Vol.
$86,417 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature near 88°F on May 9 under low morning clouds and fog giving way to clearing skies by late morning, enabling stronger solar insolation and rapid diurnal heating from current mid-morning readings around 73°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This aligns with climatological May normals near 84°F and recent drier air masses following prior wetter conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Model ensembles show strong agreement on upper-80s peaks absent persistent overcast; realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or isolated showers delaying clearance, though low-probability per current guidance, with hourly updates expected through afternoon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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