Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$321,073 Vol.
$321,073 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$321,073 Vol.
$321,073 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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