National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on May 3?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 Vol.
$56,723 Vol.
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 Vol.
$56,723 Vol.
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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