Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicates mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h moderating daytime heating in Istanbul on September 9. These factors, combined with dew points near 14–15°C and minimal cloud cover, support a daily maximum near the seasonal norm of 25–26°C rather than stronger warming. Updated short-range forecasts show limited variability, with peak readings clustered in that narrow band and low precipitation risk, aligning trader sentiment strongly with the 25°C outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 26°C. Any late model shift in wind speed or insolation could adjust the final observed high before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
25°C 82%
26°C 11%
24°C 4%
27°C 3.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
82%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 82%
26°C 11%
24°C 4%
27°C 3.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$639 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$218 Vol.
1%
23°C
$359 Vol.
2%
24°C
$475 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,698 Vol.
82%
26°C
$1,693 Vol.
11%
27°C
$286 Vol.
4%
28°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicates mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h moderating daytime heating in Istanbul on September 9. These factors, combined with dew points near 14–15°C and minimal cloud cover, support a daily maximum near the seasonal norm of 25–26°C rather than stronger warming. Updated short-range forecasts show limited variability, with peak readings clustered in that narrow band and low precipitation risk, aligning trader sentiment strongly with the 25°C outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 26°C. Any late model shift in wind speed or insolation could adjust the final observed high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,178Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicates mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h moderating daytime heating in Istanbul on September 9. These factors, combined with dew points near 14–15°C and minimal cloud cover, support a daily maximum near the seasonal norm of 25–26°C rather than stronger warming. Updated short-range forecasts show limited variability, with peak readings clustered in that narrow band and low precipitation risk, aligning trader sentiment strongly with the 25°C outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 26°C. Any late model shift in wind speed or insolation could adjust the final observed high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,178Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicates mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h moderating daytime heating in Istanbul on September 9. These factors, combined with dew points near 14–15°C and minimal cloud cover, support a daily maximum near the seasonal norm of 25–26°C rather than stronger warming. Updated short-range forecasts show limited variability, with peak readings clustered in that narrow band and low precipitation risk, aligning trader sentiment strongly with the 25°C outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 26°C. Any late model shift in wind speed or insolation could adjust the final observed high before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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