Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models places Jinan’s August 27 daytime maximum firmly above 26°C, typically 28–32°C, under lingering subtropical high pressure that favors warmth even with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover. Recent observations show sustained heat across Shandong province, and multiple model runs align on limited cooling from light rain or northeast winds. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong agreement in official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly vigorous rain system or rapid frontal passage to suppress temperatures several degrees below current projections, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 4%
25°C 4%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 4%
25°C 4%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models places Jinan’s August 27 daytime maximum firmly above 26°C, typically 28–32°C, under lingering subtropical high pressure that favors warmth even with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover. Recent observations show sustained heat across Shandong province, and multiple model runs align on limited cooling from light rain or northeast winds. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong agreement in official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly vigorous rain system or rapid frontal passage to suppress temperatures several degrees below current projections, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan