Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 21 high will likely reach 19–21°C under southerly flow advecting mild air ahead of a frontal boundary. Afternoon showers, with 30–50% probability in several runs, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially suppressing the peak through evaporative cooling or timing of cloud cover. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide context, while current surface pressure gradients and dew points around 12–13°C support modest daytime warming without extreme potential. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 21°C requiring clearer skies and stronger advection that latest guidance only partially endorses. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 21?
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
18°C 18%
21°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
17%
22°C
7%
23°C or higher
4%
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
18°C 18%
21°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$118 Vol.
3%
16°C
$53 Vol.
7%
17°C
$25 Vol.
5%
18°C
$32 Vol.
18%
19°C
$67 Vol.
25%
20°C
$164 Vol.
28%
21°C
$8 Vol.
17%
22°C
$3 Vol.
7%
23°C or higher
$40 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 21 high will likely reach 19–21°C under southerly flow advecting mild air ahead of a frontal boundary. Afternoon showers, with 30–50% probability in several runs, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially suppressing the peak through evaporative cooling or timing of cloud cover. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide context, while current surface pressure gradients and dew points around 12–13°C support modest daytime warming without extreme potential. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 21°C requiring clearer skies and stronger advection that latest guidance only partially endorses. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$731Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 21 high will likely reach 19–21°C under southerly flow advecting mild air ahead of a frontal boundary. Afternoon showers, with 30–50% probability in several runs, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially suppressing the peak through evaporative cooling or timing of cloud cover. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide context, while current surface pressure gradients and dew points around 12–13°C support modest daytime warming without extreme potential. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 21°C requiring clearer skies and stronger advection that latest guidance only partially endorses. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$731Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 21 high will likely reach 19–21°C under southerly flow advecting mild air ahead of a frontal boundary. Afternoon showers, with 30–50% probability in several runs, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially suppressing the peak through evaporative cooling or timing of cloud cover. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide context, while current surface pressure gradients and dew points around 12–13°C support modest daytime warming without extreme potential. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 21°C requiring clearer skies and stronger advection that latest guidance only partially endorses. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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