Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone during Panama’s peak wet season continue to moderate maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of 30–32 °C. Official climatological data show typical highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while recent model guidance and observed patterns favor afternoon maxima in the 31–33 °C range for 19 August. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow distribution, with the 32 °C outcome leading because historical analogs and current steering patterns indicate limited solar heating and frequent showers that cap extreme warmth. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the August mean rather than outliers, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on August 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 19?
32°C 47%
33°C 27%
31°C 21%
35°C 7.5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
47%
33°C
27%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 27%
31°C 21%
35°C 7.5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
4%
29°C
$10 Vol.
5%
30°C
$72 Vol.
7%
31°C
$12 Vol.
21%
32°C
$71 Vol.
47%
33°C
$43 Vol.
27%
34°C
$10 Vol.
7%
35°C
$121 Vol.
8%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone during Panama’s peak wet season continue to moderate maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of 30–32 °C. Official climatological data show typical highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while recent model guidance and observed patterns favor afternoon maxima in the 31–33 °C range for 19 August. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow distribution, with the 32 °C outcome leading because historical analogs and current steering patterns indicate limited solar heating and frequent showers that cap extreme warmth. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the August mean rather than outliers, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone during Panama’s peak wet season continue to moderate maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of 30–32 °C. Official climatological data show typical highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while recent model guidance and observed patterns favor afternoon maxima in the 31–33 °C range for 19 August. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow distribution, with the 32 °C outcome leading because historical analogs and current steering patterns indicate limited solar heating and frequent showers that cap extreme warmth. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the August mean rather than outliers, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone during Panama’s peak wet season continue to moderate maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of 30–32 °C. Official climatological data show typical highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while recent model guidance and observed patterns favor afternoon maxima in the 31–33 °C range for 19 August. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow distribution, with the 32 °C outcome leading because historical analogs and current steering patterns indicate limited solar heating and frequent showers that cap extreme warmth. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the August mean rather than outliers, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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