Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 28 under stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 59% implied probability, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover keep maxima near seasonal norms of 31–33°C. Minor model spread around 34°C accounts for the secondary 11.5% probability, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability absent an unexpected marine layer or northerly shift. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs more heavily than seasonal temperature anomalies of +0.5–1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
33°C 60%
32°C 21%
34°C 17%
31°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
60%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 21%
34°C 17%
31°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
$123 Vol.
1%
30°C
$146 Vol.
1%
31°C
$93 Vol.
3%
32°C
$120 Vol.
21%
33°C
$294 Vol.
60%
34°C
$131 Vol.
17%
35°C
$115 Vol.
3%
36°C
$80 Vol.
2%
37°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 28 under stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 59% implied probability, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover keep maxima near seasonal norms of 31–33°C. Minor model spread around 34°C accounts for the secondary 11.5% probability, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability absent an unexpected marine layer or northerly shift. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs more heavily than seasonal temperature anomalies of +0.5–1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,602Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 28 under stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 59% implied probability, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover keep maxima near seasonal norms of 31–33°C. Minor model spread around 34°C accounts for the secondary 11.5% probability, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability absent an unexpected marine layer or northerly shift. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs more heavily than seasonal temperature anomalies of +0.5–1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,602Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 28 under stable subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 59% implied probability, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover keep maxima near seasonal norms of 31–33°C. Minor model spread around 34°C accounts for the secondary 11.5% probability, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability absent an unexpected marine layer or northerly shift. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs more heavily than seasonal temperature anomalies of +0.5–1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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