**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, centers on 33°C (72% implied probability) and 34°C (27.5%), reflecting model consensus for a daily maximum in that narrow range.** Late August conditions in Tel Aviv feature typical Mediterranean summer patterns with highs near the seasonal average of ~30–32°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, light westerly sea breezes, and moderate humidity (60–70%). Recent Israeli Meteorological Service updates and international models (including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs) show the day starting with overnight lows near 24–26°C and rising to afternoon peaks of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, with west-northwest winds of 4–8 m/s limiting further warming. Some earlier guidance hinted at 34–35°C amid a brief heat spell above seasonal norms, but updated runs have converged lower as the ridge weakens slightly ahead of an approaching frontal system expected to bring cooler, moister air and possible showers by the weekend. Official monitoring from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and cross-verified forecasts emphasize no extreme heat or Saharan air intrusion today, keeping the probability mass tightly around 32–34°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model agreement and real-time observations more heavily than historical outliers, resulting in the strong concentration on 33°C as the most likely peak. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum reported for the city.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
33°C 72%
34°C 28%
32°C 2%
35°C 2%
$13,606 Vol.
$13,606 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
72%
34°C
28%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 28%
32°C 2%
35°C 2%
$13,606 Vol.
$13,606 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
72%
34°C
28%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, centers on 33°C (72% implied probability) and 34°C (27.5%), reflecting model consensus for a daily maximum in that narrow range.** Late August conditions in Tel Aviv feature typical Mediterranean summer patterns with highs near the seasonal average of ~30–32°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, light westerly sea breezes, and moderate humidity (60–70%). Recent Israeli Meteorological Service updates and international models (including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs) show the day starting with overnight lows near 24–26°C and rising to afternoon peaks of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, with west-northwest winds of 4–8 m/s limiting further warming. Some earlier guidance hinted at 34–35°C amid a brief heat spell above seasonal norms, but updated runs have converged lower as the ridge weakens slightly ahead of an approaching frontal system expected to bring cooler, moister air and possible showers by the weekend. Official monitoring from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and cross-verified forecasts emphasize no extreme heat or Saharan air intrusion today, keeping the probability mass tightly around 32–34°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model agreement and real-time observations more heavily than historical outliers, resulting in the strong concentration on 33°C as the most likely peak. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum reported for the city.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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