Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driven by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit daytime heating and promote mixing. Recent observations show a cooling trend after the 35.2°C high on September 17, with light showers or increased cloud cover possible early in the day further capping maxima near the seasonal norm of about 29°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 30°C heavily favored at 67% as the most probable daily high, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 18 will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
30°C 67%
31°C 22%
29°C 15%
27°C or below <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
15%
30°C
67%
31°C
22%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 67%
31°C 22%
29°C 15%
27°C or below <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
27°C or below
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$889 Vol.
15%
30°C
$4,486 Vol.
67%
31°C
$2,230 Vol.
22%
32°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driven by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit daytime heating and promote mixing. Recent observations show a cooling trend after the 35.2°C high on September 17, with light showers or increased cloud cover possible early in the day further capping maxima near the seasonal norm of about 29°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 30°C heavily favored at 67% as the most probable daily high, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 18 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,670Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driven by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit daytime heating and promote mixing. Recent observations show a cooling trend after the 35.2°C high on September 17, with light showers or increased cloud cover possible early in the day further capping maxima near the seasonal norm of about 29°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 30°C heavily favored at 67% as the most probable daily high, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 18 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,670Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driven by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit daytime heating and promote mixing. Recent observations show a cooling trend after the 35.2°C high on September 17, with light showers or increased cloud cover possible early in the day further capping maxima near the seasonal norm of about 29°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 30°C heavily favored at 67% as the most probable daily high, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 18 will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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