Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and light possible drizzle that limits nocturnal cooling. Sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C and the absence of strong high-pressure systems or cold-air advection keep overnight lows from dropping significantly below seasonal norms of 23–25°C. Trader odds remain closely balanced near 45% for 19°C or below versus 44% for 29°C or higher because small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could alter the exact low by 1–2°C, with updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance expected to provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
29°C or higher 87%
19°C or below 86%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
19°C or below
86%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C or higher
87%
29°C or higher 87%
19°C or below 86%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
19°C or below
86%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and light possible drizzle that limits nocturnal cooling. Sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C and the absence of strong high-pressure systems or cold-air advection keep overnight lows from dropping significantly below seasonal norms of 23–25°C. Trader odds remain closely balanced near 45% for 19°C or below versus 44% for 29°C or higher because small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could alter the exact low by 1–2°C, with updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance expected to provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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