Recent forecast updates from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models like GFS show a high temperature near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by increased cloud cover, light showers, and a strengthening westerly sea breeze from the Mediterranean that limits peak insolation. This follows a hotter 32°C day on the 17th under clearer skies. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima in the upper 20s Celsius, with humidity around 60% and winds of 15–25 km/h further moderating conditions. Historical September averages for the region hover near 28–29°C, and the current setup aligns with typical late-summer patterns rather than extreme heat. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 30°C, reflecting this narrow range of expected outcomes ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
30°C 70%
31°C 22%
29°C 5%
27°C or below 2.4%
$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
70%
31°C
22%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 70%
31°C 22%
29°C 5%
27°C or below 2.4%
$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
70%
31°C
22%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models like GFS show a high temperature near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by increased cloud cover, light showers, and a strengthening westerly sea breeze from the Mediterranean that limits peak insolation. This follows a hotter 32°C day on the 17th under clearer skies. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima in the upper 20s Celsius, with humidity around 60% and winds of 15–25 km/h further moderating conditions. Historical September averages for the region hover near 28–29°C, and the current setup aligns with typical late-summer patterns rather than extreme heat. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 30°C, reflecting this narrow range of expected outcomes ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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