Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloudy skies and a 40-60% chance of light rain or thunderstorms over Wuhan on September 21, limiting daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Northerly winds near 5–10 km/h and elevated humidity near 70% further moderate peak temperatures, while historical September averages hover near 26–28°C. Model consensus shows tight spreads but divergence in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
26°C 30%
27°C 24%
25°C 24%
24°C or below 14%
24°C or below
14%
25°C
24%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 24%
25°C 24%
24°C or below 14%
24°C or below
14%
25°C
24%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloudy skies and a 40-60% chance of light rain or thunderstorms over Wuhan on September 21, limiting daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Northerly winds near 5–10 km/h and elevated humidity near 70% further moderate peak temperatures, while historical September averages hover near 26–28°C. Model consensus shows tight spreads but divergence in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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