Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn facing Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared uncontested primaries in June. The district's narrow partisan lean and Nunn's 2024 margin of roughly four points contribute to elevated uncertainty. Recent polling, including surveys from early 2026 showing a generic Democrat ahead and Trone Garriott competitive or leading Nunn in head-to-head matchups, has reinforced trader positioning around Democratic chances. National midterm dynamics, fundraising trajectories, and the candidates' records on key state issues such as agriculture and suburban voter turnout continue to shape assessments of the race. The current implied probabilities reflect ongoing volatility in this battleground district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
32%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,869 Vol.
67%
Republican Party
$2,933 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn facing Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared uncontested primaries in June. The district's narrow partisan lean and Nunn's 2024 margin of roughly four points contribute to elevated uncertainty. Recent polling, including surveys from early 2026 showing a generic Democrat ahead and Trone Garriott competitive or leading Nunn in head-to-head matchups, has reinforced trader positioning around Democratic chances. National midterm dynamics, fundraising trajectories, and the candidates' records on key state issues such as agriculture and suburban voter turnout continue to shape assessments of the race. The current implied probabilities reflect ongoing volatility in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$5,801Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn facing Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared uncontested primaries in June. The district's narrow partisan lean and Nunn's 2024 margin of roughly four points contribute to elevated uncertainty. Recent polling, including surveys from early 2026 showing a generic Democrat ahead and Trone Garriott competitive or leading Nunn in head-to-head matchups, has reinforced trader positioning around Democratic chances. National midterm dynamics, fundraising trajectories, and the candidates' records on key state issues such as agriculture and suburban voter turnout continue to shape assessments of the race. The current implied probabilities reflect ongoing volatility in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,801Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn facing Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared uncontested primaries in June. The district's narrow partisan lean and Nunn's 2024 margin of roughly four points contribute to elevated uncertainty. Recent polling, including surveys from early 2026 showing a generic Democrat ahead and Trone Garriott competitive or leading Nunn in head-to-head matchups, has reinforced trader positioning around Democratic chances. National midterm dynamics, fundraising trajectories, and the candidates' records on key state issues such as agriculture and suburban voter turnout continue to shape assessments of the race. The current implied probabilities reflect ongoing volatility in this battleground district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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